Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.002363 0.002502 0.002650 0.002821 0.003013 0.003224 0.003476
2025-03-16 0.002196 0.002394 0.002617 0.002891 0.003222 0.003619 0.004141
2025-03-23 0.002070 0.002305 0.002581 0.002937 0.003395 0.003986 0.004844
2025-03-30 0.001941 0.002193 0.002498 0.002906 0.003458 0.004214 0.005408
2025-04-06 0.001815 0.002072 0.002390 0.002826 0.003436 0.004312 0.005798
2025-04-13 0.001729 0.001992 0.002324 0.002790 0.003465 0.004482 0.006340
2025-04-20 0.001610 0.001862 0.002183 0.002638 0.003308 0.004340 0.006296
2025-04-27 0.001560 0.001819 0.002152 0.002635 0.003368 0.004548 0.006966
2025-05-04 0.001541 0.001812 0.002169 0.002701 0.003539 0.004969 0.008242
2025-05-11 0.001501 0.001776 0.002143 0.002699 0.003599 0.005207 0.009228
2025-05-18 0.001490 0.001778 0.002169 0.002778 0.003802 0.005755 0.011425
2025-05-25 0.001452 0.001741 0.002137 0.002762 0.003838 0.005977 0.012841
2025-06-01 0.001400 0.001685 0.002077 0.002705 0.003805 0.006063 0.013967
2025-06-08 0.001383 0.001675 0.002086 0.002758 0.003981 0.006678 0.018405
2025-06-15 0.001362 0.001661 0.002086 0.002796 0.004134 0.007301 0.025140
2025-06-22 0.001326 0.001622 0.002048 0.002766 0.004150 0.007570 0.030934
2025-06-29 0.001281 0.001570 0.001986 0.002692 0.004065 0.007526 0.033668
2025-07-06 0.001249 0.001535 0.001949 0.002659 0.004062 0.007734 0.041974
2025-07-13 0.001193 0.001464 0.001854 0.002520 0.003823 0.007156 0.034393
2025-07-20 0.001173 0.001444 0.001838 0.002518 0.003876 0.007519 0.047645
2025-07-27 0.001168 0.001447 0.001856 0.002578 0.004074 0.008452 0.127368
2025-08-03 0.001150 0.001428 0.001841 0.002576 0.004132 0.008928 0.538629
2025-08-10 0.001148 0.001435 0.001865 0.002648 0.004374 0.010310 NaN